China and the United States signed three joint communiqués in 1972, 1979 and 1982. These three communiqués are the result of negotiations between the United States and China. They are not unilateral commitments by either party, but conditional compromises by both parties. The compromise is: in return for the United States not establishing diplomatic relations with Taiwan, the United States requires that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) cannot wage war on Taiwan, but can only resolve the issue between it and Taiwan in a peaceful manner. Therefore, peace in the Taiwan Strait is the bottom line of the United States’ “One China Policy”.
Peace is not only the starting point of the US policy towards China, but also the support point for the continuation of its policy towards China. In the event of a war, the basis of the three joint communiqués signed by the two sides will cease, and the diplomatic relations between the United States and China ends with it.
However, in recent years, the CCP has not only threatened to use force against Taiwan, but also hurriedly prepared for war, thus fundamentally shaking the foundation of the three joint communiqués. In view of the aggressiveness of the CCP, Europe and Japan took the lead in supporting Taiwan. The Deputy Speaker of the European Parliament Nikola will visit Taiwan on July 19, 2022 to emphasize Europe’s support for Taiwan’s defense of peace, democracy and sovereignty. A couple of weeks since then, Japanese cross-party delegations and politicians have visited Taiwan, and said that Japan should shoulder its responsibility for peace in the Asia-Pacific Region. Whether at the legal, military or economic level, what affects Taiwan affects Japan.
Political analysts believe that for the United States and the world’s democratic camps, the Taiwan Strait is not only the forefront of defending world peace, but also defending a free and democratic way of life. The United States, Europe and Japan vigorously promote the process of normalization of relations with Taiwan in the three or four months before the 20th National Congress. This aims to trap Xi Jinping in a dilemma and create a high-pressure situation to intensify the infighting in the CCP, thereby triggering the collapse of the CCP from within.
If the CCP does not give up solving the Taiwan issue by war, the “one China” in the Western One China policy is the Republic of China. This is an unbearable pain for the CCP, and with Pelosi’s possible visit to Taiwan, the world situation will also undergo a huge change as a result.